• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0862

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 26 20:07:47 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 262007
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 262007=20
    TXZ000-262130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0862
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0307 PM CDT Tue May 26 2026

    Areas affected...Portions of Texas Hill Country

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 244...

    Valid 262007Z - 262130Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 244
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Large hail and severe gusts will remain the greatest
    threat in WW 244. There is a locally more favorable zone for
    tornadoes between Eagle Pass and San Antonio.

    DISCUSSION...Linear convection from near Del Rio to east of San
    Angelo has yet to become more substantially organized thus far.
    Continued heating/moistening out ahead of this activity should
    eventually allow for some intensification and upscale growth to
    occur. West of San Antonio, discrete storms have been ongoing. Given
    the very moist (70+ F dewpoints) and the locally enhanced low-level
    shear on the KDFX VAD, these storms will pose the greatest threat of
    a tornado or two and potentially hail around 2 in. over the next
    couple of hours. With time, the expectation remains that a linear
    MCS will develop and move east/southeast later this afternoon.

    ..Wendt/Gleason.. 05/26/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9W59r1PgOBUs8OPJGeKIVtonNJZFSU2C3dPxXkUjqv4Ukoav454CRSUbKxn8os4Nj0_xWIEjQ= DGgyAFDTUfNXDb105M$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...SJT...

    LAT...LON 29040148 30190151 30900079 30910042 30379870 30009835
    29089840 28769890 28379968 28400045 29040148=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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