• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0860

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue May 26 12:54:15 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 261254
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 261253=20
    TXZ000-261430-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0860
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0753 AM CDT Tue May 26 2026

    Areas affected...Parts of the Texas Trans Pecos

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 261253Z - 261430Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Locally severe wind gusts and hail are possible with
    storms as they track eastward over the next couple hours. A watch is
    not expected for this activity.

    DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms has emerged over the TX Trans-Pecos
    region, with recent organization of a small cold pool. As these
    storms track eastward along the northern periphery of a weakly
    unstable air mass, around 30 kt of line-normal effective shear and
    increasingly moist inflow may support continued eastward progression
    with an accompanying risk of locally severe wind gusts and isolated
    large hail.

    ..Weinman/Smith.. 05/26/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6C2-wO3FXGSLlHx_7q-K9oIh-Ax7SEZQ-Qk1J5up1hy0-XEEBuR1BadC_81KYiS8aOK8trbLu= N2ZV_H7_3F8RVkZWuQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MAF...

    LAT...LON 30000345 30710350 30860337 30970287 30930236 30710220
    30160213 29920242 29870312 30000345=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)